March 2, 2020
Near-term Market Forecast: The market environment is neither favorable or unfavorable for appreciation of these stocks in the weeks ahead.
Coronavirus and political change fears ran rampant through the market last week as the market indices dove more than 10%. The S&P 500 came down to test the August lows – a 16% correction from the highs the prior week. Volatility exploded as the indices fell well into oversold levels on RSI. Today the market rebounded strongly after the weekend primary and further data pointing to a death rate of less than 2% in South Korea and other areas of the world. The indices have already retraced about half of the sharp move lower over the past couple weeks. All the major indices continue to be lower for the year with small caps lagging well behind large cap tech. The NYSE advance/decline line is starting to rebound strongly with the market. After reaching levels not seen since early 2018, the VIX volatility index is dropping quickly. A lot of earnings reports are due this week, election primary uncertainty along with the coronavirus should continue to impact the market and earnings estimates so we continue to expect more volatility in the days ahead The strategy is calling for holding positions in the 3 stocks below until the next update:
This Weeks Stocks:
This week we have 1 new stock. So, to follow the system, you would sell SLM and use the proceeds to buy DXCM. If you are just starting, you would buy an equal dollar amount of all 3 stocks when the market re-opens in your risk-capital account dedicated to this system. Be sure to view the complete introductory video before getting started.
Stock #1 – REGN
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $337.90 (Be aware that a tighter stop-loss will likely severely reduce performance over the long-term based on back-testing for this strategy. See upgrade and performance video for further information and insight on optional stop-loss orders.)
Stock #2 – PFSI
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $28.90
Stock #3 – DXCM
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $225.90
It was an amazing week for the 3 stocks to wealth as the portfolio was about flat as the overall market had one of the worst weeks on record. The strategy easily crushed the market. However, we certainly do not expect to consistently beat the market during corrections as can be seen on the long-term performance chart where the strategy tends to underperform during market drawdowns. When the market has a more sustained rebound destined for new highs, the strategy tends to beat by a wide margin over its first 7+ years.
The $364 print on the worden chart above looks like a mistake. Both our trading platform and stockcharts.com show the low of the day is actually around $445.
Brian C Neall
Founder – Investtobefree.com
email: info@investtobefree.com