August 31, 2020
Near-term Market Forecast: The market environment is modestly favorable for appreciation of these stocks in the weeks ahead.
The tech growth stock heavyweights continue to push the Nasdaq higher. Apple, Amazon, Facebook and others are pushing the Nasdaq into new highs to lead the market. The S&P 500 gained nearly 2% since last Tuesday morning while the small cap Russell 2000 has lost value. The Nasdaq gained over 3% on the back of big tech while most other stocks are spinning their wheels. The yield on the ten year treasury moved higher again last week before pulling back today to close at .693%. The yield curve steepened a bit but the banking index continues to lag. The NYSE advance/decline line is looking a little weaker but is still in a long-term uptrend. Volume has been shrinking which is typical in August. We continue to expect bouts of volatility as the VIX is back over 25 but the strategy is calling for holding positions in the 3 stocks below until the next update:
This Weeks Stocks:
This week we have 2 new stocks. So, to follow the system, you would sell CROX and MHO and use the proceeds to buy equal dollar amounts of VRTX and ETSY. If you are just starting, you would buy equal dollar amounts of all 3 stocks when the market re-opens in your risk-capital account dedicated to this system. Be sure to view the complete introductory video before getting started.
Stock #1 – VRTX
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $221.77 (Be aware that a tighter stop-loss will likely severely reduce performance over the long-term based on back-testing for this strategy. See upgrade and performance video for further information and insight on optional stop-loss orders.)
Stock #2 – AMZN
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $2628.70
Stock #3 – ETSY
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $95.89
We rode the FAANG wave as AMZN gained another 5%. Howerver, the hurricane was much worse than expected which impacts lumber prices even more for homebuilders which dipped. MHO gave up 9% while CROX was flat. A disappointing week due to the pullback in the homebuilders as the strategy was down about 1% overall.
Its still been a terrific year for the strategy as we get closer to the historically best time of year for stocks – October to June.
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Brian C Neall
Founder – Investtobefree.com
email: info@investtobefree.com