May 26, 2020
Near-term Market Forecast: The market environment is neither favorable or unfavorable for appreciation of these stocks in the weeks ahead.
Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained about 1% over the past week. Today we saw the averages gap up over key resistance levels before fading most of the day. The small cap Russell 2000 is starting to catch up and has almost retraced 61.8% of the pandemic losses. After a very strong day last Monday, the banking index had a stronger day today. Another good sign for the overall market. More aggressive re-opening measures throughout the country have been met with little increase in death rates while the overall pandemic numbers in the US rapidly improve. This is being met with selling of the stay-at-home stocks today and rotating into small caps, banks and travel and leisure stocks. The price of oil is holding up in the mid $30s. The ten-year treasury yield continues to be depressed around .7%. The VIX volatility index continues to trend lower but is finding support near the top of the prior multi-year range it broke out of just before the pandemic hit hard. The NYSE advance/decline line has cleared another swing high as it trends further north. The market uptrend is still in place and the strategy is calling for holding positions in the 3 stocks below until the next update:
This Weeks Stocks:
This week we have 3 new stocks. So, to follow the system, you would sell DOCU, VRTX and NFLX and use the proceeds to purchase equal dollar amounts of DBX, MTCH and IPHI. If you are just starting, you would buy equal dollar amounts of all 3 stocks when the market re-opens in your risk-capital account dedicated to this system. Be sure to view the complete introductory video before getting started.
Stock #1 – DBX
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $18.24 (Be aware that a tighter stop-loss will likely severely reduce performance over the long-term based on back-testing for this strategy. See upgrade and performance video for further information and insight on optional stop-loss orders.)
Stock #2 – MTCH
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $69.89
Stock #3 – IPHI
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $94.80
It was an ok week until the surprisingly good pandemic news over the past few days finally triggered a pullback in the stay-at-home stocks and money moving into more risky, beaten up stocks. The stay-at-home stocks look ready to consolidate further for a while. The S&P gained about 1% over the past week while the 3 Stocks were down about 3.5% for the week. The worst under-performance in some time.
Its important to be able to ride the ups and downs in any good strategy. As we have reminded over the years, being consistent is needed for a shot at great long-term success with any good strategy.
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Brian C Neall
Founder – Investtobefree.com
email: info@investtobefree.com