September 8, 2020
Near-term Market Forecast: The market environment is neither favorable or unfavorable for appreciation of these stocks in the weeks ahead.
The market got clocked last week after a strong run in August. The Nasdaq dropped about 10% from the recent highs just last week to the close today. The S&P 500 dropped about 7% while the small cap Russell 2000 fared about the same. Volatility exploded higher as the VIX volatility index surged more than 50%. The selling came in right after the parabolic run for TSLA and AAPL into their stock split. Also, more optimism over a vaccine and better pandemic stats have helped the S&P 500 over the Nasdaq. The yield curve and ten year treasury yield are around where they were this time last week. The NYSE advance/decline line has now made a lower high followed by a lower low so its now trending lower. Pullbacks in September are pretty common and we were due for a Nasdaq correction. We continue to expect bouts of volatility but the strategy is calling for holding positions in the 3 stocks below until the next update:
This Weeks Stocks:
This week we have 3 new stocks. So, to follow the system, you would sell AMZN, ETSY and VRTX and use the proceeds to buy equal dollar amounts of HIBB, PFSI and COOP. If you are just starting, you would buy equal dollar amounts of all 3 stocks when the market re-opens in your risk-capital account dedicated to this system. Be sure to view the complete introductory video before getting started.
Stock #1 – HIBB
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $27.70 (Be aware that a tighter stop-loss will likely severely reduce performance over the long-term based on back-testing for this strategy. See upgrade and performance video for further information and insight on optional stop-loss orders.)
Stock #2 – COOP
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $15.73
Stock #3 – PFSI
Optional Protective Stop-loss Point: $39.34
A sudden 10% drop in a major index makes for a difficult long trading environment. Fortunately, the strategy just beat the Nasdaq while underperforming the S&P 500 slightly. Generally, the strategy has had significantly larger drawdowns than the overall market in its first 8+ years. However, it did much better during the past couple large market drawdowns over the past couple years. Even beating the Dow during the severe sell-off early this year. However, we certainly do not expect this during most large market pullbacks.
.
Brian C Neall
Founder – Investtobefree.com
email: info@investtobefree.com